Back Rory McIlroy to get the better of Scottie Scheffler at a wet and windy 2024 Open Championship

Dean Etheridge
By , Updated on: Jul 10, 2024 12:00 AM
2024 Open Championship Golf Betting Picks and Predictions 07-18-2024

The fourth and final golf major of 2024 is the British Open Championship from Royal Troon. Scottie Scheffler is the favorite to win. But he will face a determined Rory McIlroy after the Northern Irishman choked with the winning line in sight at the US Open. Can McIlroy bounce back with a win in his home major? We give you the answer in our latest golf betting picks.

  • What: 2024 British Open Championship
  • Where: Royal Troon Golf Club, South Ayrshire, Scotland
  • When: Thursday, July 18th – Sunday, July 21st
  • Yardage: 7,190
  • Par: 71
  • Purse: $16,500.000

Scottie Scheffler (+450) is the dominant force in golf. In mid-July he will head to the 152nd British Open Championship at the Royal Troon Golf Club as the betting favorite to win his second major championship of 2024.

Scheffler’s closest rival in the betting is Rory McIlroy. The 2014 Open champion is +800. Coming from Northern Ireland, McIlroy knows the UK conditions better than Scheffler. Can he utilize his local knowledge to get the better of Scheffler and win his first major since his PGA Championship win in 2014?

Expect tough conditions at Royal Troon

To put it politely, the weather in the UK has been indifferent. Us natives would have a stronger, ruder way of describing it. But it’s supposed to be the summer in the UK, and it’s been anything but.

With the Open Championship played on Links courses, the wet and windy weather makes it a whole different ball game to what the top players are used to on the PGA Tour. Benign conditions can be replaced by three seasons on a cold, wet, windy day by the sea on a Links course in sunny Scotland.

How used to these conditions is Scottie Scheffler? He might be the best player in the world. But he might not be the best player in the world at dealing with these conditions, should he be greeted by them at Royal Troon on July 18th.

Betting to win the 2024 British Open Championship

In the latest Golf betting online, Scottie Scheffler is +450 to win the Open Championship for the first time. Have a long hard think about backing him at such short prices if the British weather is on a par with Joe Biden’s performance in the first US Presidential debate.

Rory McIlroy will be far more adept at playing in such conditions. Coming from Holywood, a small coastal town in Northern Ireland, McIlroy is well used to this sort of weather from the north.

Okay, he may not have played in it much over recent years in the US, but he is far more used to these conditions than Scheffler.

Rory McIlroy To beat Scottie Scheffler in the head-to-head

Outside of the leading two candidates in the betting to win the 2024 Open Championship is US Open champion Bryson DeChambeau at +1200.

Also in the running are Xander Schauffele at +1400, Ludvig Aberg at +1600, Collin Morikawa at +1800, Jon Rahm at +2200, and another man who won’t be put off by the conditions, Tommy Fleetwood, at +2800.

More British Open 2024 golf betting odds are available on our betting table below. All our odds are from the sites for golf betting.

PlayerBetUSBovadaBetOnline
Scottie Scheffler+450+450+450
Rory McIlroy+800+800+800
Bryson DeChambeau+1200+1200+1200
Xander Schauffele+1400+1400+1400
Ludvig Aberg+1600+1600+1600
Viktor Hovland+1800+1800+1800
Collin Morikawa+1800+1800+1800
Jon Rahm+2200+2200+2200
Tommy Fleetwood+2500+2500+2500
Brooks Koepka+2800+2800+2800
Cameron Smith+3000+3000+3000
Tyrrell Hatton+3000+3000+3000
Patrick Cantlay+3000+3000+3000
Tony Finau+3300+3300+3300
Shane Lowry+3300+3300+3300
Hideki Matsuyama+3500+3500+3500
Matthew Fitzpatrick+3500+3500+3500
Tom Kim+4000+4000+4000
Robert MacIntyre+4000+4000+4000
Jordan Spieth+4000+4000+4000
Justin Thomas+4500+4500+4500
Joaquin Niemann+5000+5000+5000
Max Homa+5000+5000+5000
Cameron Young+5000+5000+5000
Will Zalatoris+5500+5500+5500
Min Woo Lee+5500+5500+5500
Wyndham Clark+6600+6600+6600

Our 2024 British Open Championship Picks and Predictions

Scottie Scheffler is chasing his second major championship of the year, having already bagged himself a second Masters title in April.

He is too short in the betting and untested in Links course conditions. Unlike Xander Schauffele and Collin Morikawa, Sheffler isn’t playing the Scottish Open warm-up event the week before. Therefore, we are opposing the World No.1 for the Open.

Instead, we are naming some long shots.

Tommy Fleetwood +2500

Tommy Fleetwood comes from Southport, a coastal town in England, a short iron shot away from numerous Links golf courses.

Fleetwood has never won a major championship, but he has a good record at the British Open Championship, with three top-10 finishes in his last four involvements.

The 33-year-old finished 2nd in the 2019 edition. He is in good form in 2024, with a T3 finish in the Masters, and a win at the Dubai International at the start of the year.

Tommy Fleetwood is our first pick to win the 2024 British Open Championship.

Tommy Fleetwood To win 2024 British Open Championship
BetOnline
+2500

Collin Morikawa +1800

We also like the look of Collin Morikawa. He has been a constant presence on leaderboards in 2024, and he is also playing the Scottish Open in an attempt to acclimatize to the conditions he is likely to encounter at Royal Troon.

Collin Morikawa To win 2024 British Open Championship
BetOnline
+1800

Ludvig Aberg +1600

Our final pick is Ludvig Aberg. In 2024, Aberg, so far, has six top-ten finishes to his name.

The Swede is a major champion in waiting. He has never played in the Open Championship before, but in his debut major championship, he finished second in the 2024 Masters.

The last time the Open was at Royal Troon was in 2016. Aberg’s fellow countryman, Henrik Stenson, won that edition, beating off Phil Mickelson in a Sunday afternoon showdown.

Aberg would have loved that. And we say he has it in him to emulate Stenson and make him our final betting pick to win the 2024 British Open Championship.

Ludvig Auberg To win 2024 British Open Championship
BetOnline
+1600

Make sure you check out our top-rated sportsbooks below. These are our recommended Golf betting partners that you can read more about on our sportsbook reviews page:

  • EXCLUSIVE BONUS
    Bovada
    4.3/5
    50% bonus up to $250
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • BetOnline
    4.1/5
    100% bonus up to $1000
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • EXCLUSIVE BONUS
    BetUS
    4.4/5
    125% up to $2,500
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • Xbet
    4.3/5
    $500 Sign-up Bonus
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • BetNow
    4.5/5
    100% up to $1,000
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • MyBookie
    50% bonus up to $1000
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • Bookmaker
    100% up to $400
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • Sportsbetting
    3.6/5
    50% up to $1000
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • EveryGame
    $500 Sign Up Bonus
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • WagerWeb
    3.5/5
    100% up to $1,000
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • BetDSI
    3.3/5
    100% up to $500 + $500 at BetDsi's Casino
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

  • BetNow
    4.3/5
    100% up to $450
    No Code Needed
    Play Now

    T&C apply, 18+, Play responsibly

Meet the author

Dean Etheridge

Dean is primarily a fan of English football who regularly attends games, and combining his hobby with his job, he is now a full-time sports betting writer.  Rather than going down the educational route into sports journalism, Dean learned his trade by writing for hi...

Online Sports Betting may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Rest assured, we avoid biases and provide honest opinions on sportsbooks. Read our affiliate disclosure here.