The Cleveland Browns Don't Stand a Chance vs. the Buffalo Bills in Week 11

Dan Favale
By , Updated on: Apr 9, 2024 08:00 PM
The Cleveland Browns Don't Stand a Chance vs. the Buffalo Bills in Week 11

If you thought the best online NFL betting sites would be down on the Buffalo Bills in Week 11 after they dropped two straight games, you should probably think again. Buffalo is massively favored to take down the Cleveland Browns in their matchup on Sunday, November 20, at 1 p.m. EST.

We wouldn't blame you for taking the contrarian stance. The Bills just failed to generate offense against the New York Jets in Week 9 and then fell to the Minnesota Vikings in Week 10 after a late-game collapse of sorts. And though he did play in last Sunday's loss to Minnesota, Bills superstar quarterback Josh Allen is still dealing with a UCL injury. Can you really trust this team to get the job done in Week 11? Or are the past two weeks and losses evidence that the Super Bowl favorite is more vulnerable than we initially thought?

Before we get to the answer, here are the latest NFL online betting odds for Bills vs. Browns from our friends over BetOnline:

FavoriteBetOnlineBetOnlineUnderdog
Buffalo Bills-400+315Cleveland Browns

Make sure you double-check these online NFL betting odds for Week 11 before you submit your wager. Our Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns betting odds are accurate heading into Tuesday, November 15. This means all the linemakers have plenty of time to tweak their football betting odds ahead of opening kickoff. Do your best to stay on top of any midweek alterations.

On a related note, if you need a spot to bet on the NFL, you should definitely browse through our reviews of the top online sportsbooks. With all the information we've jam-packed into our one-stop shop, you'll have zero issue finding the best online betting sites for NFL football in 2022.

Now, who's going to win this Bills vs. Browns game? And which team will cover the point spread? And finally, how should you handle the over/under? Let's dive right in!

Trust the Buffalo Bills to Edge Out the Shorthanded Cleveland Browns in Week 11

Status reports on Bills QB Josh Allen haven't dropped yet, but he's believed to be progressing on his recovery from a UCL injury. If he played last week, he's probably playing this week.

Good thing, too. The Bills cannot afford another letdown. And while injured players aren't always at their best, Allen did still pilot an offense that put up 30 points on the Vikings in Week 10. He shouldn't have any problems going up against a Browns squad that doesn't put massive amounts of pressure on the quarterback, force interceptions or do an especially good job at erasing downfield plays. 

In fact, it's quite the opposite for Cleveland. They rank in the bottom five of both interceptions forced and net yards per passing attempt. Allen doesn't need to be at full strength to carve them up.

The Browns won't deliver any compelling counters on offense, either. Though they've put together a couple of higher-scoring performances this year, they remain without quarterback Deshaun Watson, who is serving an 11-game suspension for being credibly accused of sexual assault. As far as we're concerned, this all adds up to a guaranteed loss for Cleveland—particularly when they're tasked with traveling to Buffalo for the festivities.

OSB Prediction: Buffalo Bills (-400)

Buffalo Bills To beat the Detroit Lions
-400
BetOnline

Do the Bills have the Juice to Beat the Browns by Double Digits?

Here are the latest NFL point spread betting odds for Bills vs. Browns in Week 11:

  • Buffalo Bills, -9.5 (-110)
  • Cleveland Browns, +9.5(-100)

This spread is incredibly tough. On the one hand, Buffalo is at home, where they are a plus-76 points through four games. That's the equivalent of outscoring opponents by an average of 19 points per contest. 

On the other hand, that differential is skewed by their two 30-plus-point wins to start the season. We just saw Buffalo blow a lead at home in Week 10, and the Allen injury still looms in the backdrop. Cleveland can do a nice job of controlling the attack with their rushing game, so if the Bills' offense isn't going at full bore, this could turn into a closely contested slog.

We're betting against that, mostly because we don't trust the Browns offense going up against this Buffalo defense. Cleveland has scored 20 or fewer points in three of their past four games, and none of those meetings featured an opponent with a defense on the same level as that from the Bills.

OSB Prediction: Buffalo Bills, -9.5 (-110)

New York Giants To cover the point spread vs. the Detroit Lions
-118
BetOnline

Cautiously Take the Over in Bills vs. Browns

Below you can see the latest NFL over/under betting odds for Browns vs. Bills in Week 11:

  • Over 47 (-110)
  • Under 47 (-110)

This is another tough line to project. A 9.5-point spread usually suggests a high-scoring affair. At the same, we wonder if Allen's injury could continue increasing the Bills' dependence on the run game, in which case they probably won't be moving the chains as frequently. 

On top of that, road games have not been especially kind to the Browns. They have scored 20 or fewer points in each of their past three games away from home, and the frigid Buffalo air isn't going to make their lives any easier.

Going with the under while also predicting the Bills to win by double digits is a calculated risk. We're ultimately okay with taking it.

OSB Prediction: Over 47 (-110)

Bills and Browns To score over 47 points combined
-110
BetOnline

Take a look at this list of the top online sportsbooks so you can decide which one to use for all of your 2022 NFL betting:

Meet the author

Dan Favale

Dan Favale leverages over 12 years of sports journalism expertise in his role as New York staff writer. He provides in-depth analysis across the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, tennis, NASCAR, college basketball, and sports betting. Dan co-hosts the popular Hardwood Knocks NBA podc...

Online Sports Betting may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Rest assured, we avoid biases and provide honest opinions on sportsbooks. Read more here.