2022 NFL Props: Tom Brady, Justin Herbert and Best Prop Bets to Lead QBs in Passing Touchdowns

Dan Favale
By , Updated on: Sep 4, 2022 08:00 PM
2022 NFL Props: Tom Brady, Justin Herbert and Best Prop Bets to Lead QBs in Passing Touchdowns

With Week 1 of the 2022 NFL regular season rapidly approaching, we can't help but get lost in the large swathe of betting options available. Specifically, the 2022 NFL props market is on fire. And we're trying to run through as many glorious opportunities as possible.

This next jaunt into betting on NFL props brings us to one of the most entertaining prop categories around passing touchdowns. More pointedly, we want to know which starting quarterback will lead the entire NFL in passing touchdowns for the 2022 season. Is it Aaron Rodgers from the Green Bay Packers? How about Tom Brady of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers? Or what about Justin Herbert from the Los Angeles Chargers? Or will it actually be someone else?

Our mission in this space is to find the best possible candidates before delivering our final prediction to lead the NFL in passing touchdowns. First, however, here are the latest betting odds for the NFL, which come courtesy of our friends over at BetOnline:

Tom Brady+650
Justin Herbert+800
Matthew Stafford+900
Patrick Mahomes+900
Josh Allen+1000
Joe Burrow+1100
Dak Prescott+1600
Russell Wilson+1600
Aaron Rodgers+1600
Derek Carr+1800
Kirk Cousins+2000
Matt Ryan+4000
Kyler Murray+4000
Tua Tagovailoa+4000
Jalen Hurts+5000
Tyler Huntley+5000
Jameis Winson+5000
Deshaun Watson+5000
Daniel Jones+6000
Lamar Jackson+6000
Baker Mayfield+6000
Jared Goff+6000
Mac Jones+6000
Zach Wilson+6600
Carson Wentz+6600
Ryan Tannehill+6600
Trevor Lawrence+7000
Trey Lance+10000
Geno Smith+10000
Davis Mills+10000
Mitch Trubisky+10000
Marcus Mariota+10000
Justin Fields+10000

You should absolutely double-check these 2022 NFL props right up until you officially place your wager. NFL prop betting markets tend to thin out once the season kicks off, and the ones that remain will continue shifting throughout the course of the season to account for the latest results. For reference, our NFL betting odds are accurate entering Tuesday, August 30. If you're placing your wager much later than that, it's good practice to review all football betting lines.

Are you among those in the market for a place to bet on the NFL in 2022? No sweat. We have your back. Our reviews of the top online sportsbooks are loaded with everything you need to find and register at any number of the best NFL betting sites in 2022. Now, let's get to our best bets to lead the NFL in passing touchdowns for the 2022 NFL season.

Should Tom Brady Lead This 2022 NFL Props Field?

Tom Brady led all quarterbacks in passing touchdowns last season, with 43. Does he have a chance to do it again this year?

That's going to be a year.

Though Brady maybe 45, aging hasn't slowed him down yet. Tampa Bay also continues to have a host of weapons for him to target through the air, including Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and, most recently, Julio Jones.

Tom Brady To lead the NFL in passing touchdowns for the 2022 season

Justin Herbert is Offering Great Value

Justin Herbert has emerged as a dark horse MVP candidate for some, in large part because of what he was able to accomplish last season. He tossed 38 touchdowns during the 2021 campaign, the third most in the league, trailing only Brady and Matthew and Stafford.

Eclipsing that total this season feels like a formality. Herbert continues to have Keenan Allen and Mike Williams to target through the air, and running back Austin Ekeler has been known to run a picture-perfect route or two.

Justin Herbert To lead the NFL in passing touchdowns for the 2022 season

Better 2022 NFL Props Bet: Josh Allen or Joe Burrow?

Most have identified the Buffalo Bills as a Super Bowl favorite. We're not ready to go that far.

With all of that said, quarterback Josh Allen is the clear selection here.

Buffalo has loaded up on offensive weapons for him to connect with out of pocket. Stefon Diggs is back in the fold, Jamison Crowder has joined the roster, and there have been rumblings that the Bills could consider signing Odell Beckham Jr.

Josh Allen To lead the NFL in passing touchdowns for the 2022 season

Kyle Murray Might be Worth an Investment

Oddsmakers would no doubt be higher on Kyler Murray if the Arizona Cardinals signal-caller wasn't going to be without his top weapon. Wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins is still slated to be suspended to start the season.

This doesn't quite deter us from keeping Murray in the mix. Marquise Brown and A.J. Green are both elite deep-ball threats themselves, and the Cardinals have added yet another pass-catching specialist in star tight end Zach Ertz.

Even if Hopkins has a year to forget—or doesn't return at all—we could see Murray leap-frogging the 35-touchdown plateau.

Kyler Murray To lead the NFL in passing touchdowns for the 2022 season

Better 2022 NFL Props Bet: Patrick Mahomes or Matthew Stafford?

Many bettors will gravitate toward Matthew Stafford, the captain of the reigning champion Los Angeles Rams. Their running back rotation still demands he throw a boatload of passes, and more than that, the Kansas City Chiefs let one of Patrick Mahomes' best weapons leave for the Miami Dolphins over the offseason in Tyreek Hill.

Still, while Hill's absence in KC is worth thinking about, it's not the end of the world. Mahomes is more responsible for the Chiefs' recent spate of success than anyone else. Hill made some pretty ridiculous catches, but Mahomes' arm does the heavy lifting.

And let's not pretend the Chiefs are all of a sudden barren of pass-catchers on the offensive end. They poached JuJu Smith-Schuster from the Pittsburgh Steelers and added Marquez Valdes-Scantling from the Green Bay Packers.

Oh, and then there's this superstar tight end called Travis Kelce. He could be good for 20-plus touchdown receptions on his own.

Patrick Mahomes To lead the NFL in passing touchdowns for the 2022 season

Which NFL QB will Have the Most Passing TDs in 2022?

And the winner is...Justin Herbert of the Los Angeles Chargers.

Other quarterbacks are working with a deeper arsenal of receivers. Some even have running back rotations capable of catching more passes. But this is all sort of the point.

Los Angeles leaned on Herbert to keep their offense going last season. This year will be no different. Their running back rotation almost demands he throw the ball 45-plus times per game. And fortunately for them, at 24, he remains young and spry enough to handle such a massive workload.

Don't be surprised if and when he flirts with 40-plus touchdowns over the course of 17 games.

Justin Herbert To lead the NFL in passing touchdowns for the 2022 season

Take a look at this list of the top online sportsbooks so you can decide which one to use for all of your 2022 NFL bettings:

Meet the author

Dan Favale

Dan Favale leverages over 12 years of sports journalism expertise in his role as New York staff writer. He provides in-depth analysis across the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, tennis, NASCAR, college basketball, and sports betting. Dan co-hosts the popular Hardwood Knocks NBA podc...

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