Packers to crush Commanders on Thursday Night Football

Steve Starr
By , Updated on: Sep 10, 2025 12:00 AM
Packers vs Commanders Picks
  • What: Washington Commanders at Green Bay Packers
  • Where: Lambeau Field
  • When: Thursday, September 11th, 2025

Jordan Love threw two touchdowns in a 27-13 victory over the NFC North rival Detroit Lions in Week 1. The Green Bay Packers will now host Jayden Daniels and the Commanders on Thursday Night Football. Washington is coming off an excellent defensive performance, holding the Giants to two field goals in an easy 21-6 season-opening win.

Let's look at the Week 2 betting lines for Packers vs Commanders. Odds are subject to change.

BovadaSpreadMoney LineTotal Points
Washington Commanders+3.5 (-110)+160Un 48.0 (-110)
Green Bay Packers-3.5 (-110)-185Ov 48.0 (-110)

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Green Bay favored in Lambeau

Green Bay is a 3.5-point home favorite on Thursday night with the OVER/UNDER set at 48 points. Jordan Love passed for 188 yards and 2 TDs, connecting with 10 different receivers to capture win his first career win against the Lions at Lambeau Field. Josh Jacobs also extended his touchdown streak to 10-consecutive games.

Micah Parsons chased down Jared Goff for his first sack as a Packer and added three pressures in just 29 snaps. Jeff Hafley's defense held Detroit to a mere 13 points in their first game of the post-Ben Johnson era.

Commanders cream Giants

Jayden Daniels passed for 233 yards and a touchdown while adding 68 yards on the ground in the Commanders' 21-6 victory over New York. Jacory Croskey-Merritt proved the fantasy buzz correct, rushing for 82 yards and a score in his rookie debut. Deebo Samuel also looked good in Commanders colors, with 96 total yards and a TD.

Dan Quinn's defense kept Russell Wilson and the Giants out of the endzone all game, increasing calls for rookie QB Jaxson Dart.

Historical Betting Trends

Green Bay is 22-17-1 all-time versus the Commanders franchise. Washington hasn't won at Lambeau Field since 1988.

While the two teams haven't played since 2022, Dan Quinn is plenty familiar with Micah Parsons. The Packers star edge rusher played for Quinn on the Cowboys, and has registered 10.5 sacks in eight career games against Washington.

Keys to Victory

The Commanders rushed for 220 yards against the Giants in Week 1. However, the Packers held Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery to just 44 yards on 20 carries.

Washington went 1-4 last year when they were held under 100 yards rushing. They were 13-2 when they exceeded 100 yards on the ground.

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders Picks

It's always a tough assignment to play on short rest on the road. With rookie left tackle Josh Conerly Jr. set to see plenty of Micah Parsons, Jayden Daniels could be under fire in Week 2 at Lambeau.

Take the Packers -3.5 (-110) with the UNDER 48 points.

Green Bay Packers to cover vs Commanders
Bovada
-3.5

Meet the author

Steve Starr

Accomplished Sports Betting Specialist with over two decades of experience in sports analytics, strategic betting formulation, and risk management, with a particular focus on professional sports such as the NFL, NBA, and NHL. Proven success in applying statistical mo...

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