Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay Packers Need A Win vs. Washington Commanders in NFL Week 7

Dan Favale
By , Updated on: Apr 9, 2024 08:00 PM
Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay Packers Need A Win vs. Washington Commanders in NFL Week 7

Is it time to panic about the Green Bay Packers, who have now lost two consecutive games and sit at a precarious 3-3 in the 2022 NFL standings? We'll know more after Week 7.

In the meantime, it's probably okay to panic a little. The Packers will face the Washington Commanders on Sunday, October 23, at 1 p.m. EST, in what will be the first of three straight games away from Green Bay. With the league-best Buffalo Bills looming in Week 8, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers cannot afford to fumble a should-be win in Washington. But will they be able to take care of business?

Before we figure that out, here are the latest NFL online betting odds for Packers vs. Commanders in Week 7, courtesy of the folks over at BetUS:

Green Bay Packers-225+188Washington Commanders

Make sure to double-check these online NFL betting odds right up until you actually submit your wager. Our Commanders vs. Packers picks are using football betting lines that will be accurate entering Wednesday, October 19. There will be slight tweaks made to the Packers vs. Commanders odds over the coming days in the lead-up to kick-off, so be aware of that.

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And now, let's get to predicting every aspect of the Week 7 matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Washington Commanders.

The Green Bay Packers will Win in Week 7, but They're Not Out of the Woods Just Yet

Truthfully, as soon as we saw this line and the matchup, we didn't need to overthink it.

Indeed, the Packers' performance so far has been concerning. Their defense ranks 20th overall in success rate, and they have one of the three worst rushing-defense marks through six weeks. This team is not built to withstand the current slump of its offense, which has seen superstar Aaron Rodgers struggle on drop-backs and average fewer than seven yards per attempt.

Skeptics will note how the personnel around Green Bay isn't expected to get any better. That's fair. But this isn't so much about trusting the Packers. It's about the state of the Commanders. They rank 29th in points scored per game and don't have a reliable passing attack of which to speak.

Washington's offense may only get worse to boot. After fracturing a finger in the team's win over the Chicago Bears in Week 6, starting quarterback Carson Wentz is slated to miss up to six weeks. Some believe this could actually help the Commanders, who were turning the ball over at an alarming rate with him under center. But his backup, Taylor Heinicke, was the all-out starter in Washington last season, and he ranked among the bottom-seven in most important quarterback metrics.

To be sure, we're not exactly ready to predict a blow out for the Packers. They haven't earned the benefit of the doubt. But Washington's offense is so bad even their defense shouldn't seem all that overmatched.

OSB Prediction: Green Bay Packers (-225)

Green Bay Packers To beat the Washington Commanders

Can the Packers Score Enough to Cover the Week 7 Spread in Washington?

Here are the latest NFL point spread betting odds for Packers vs. Commanders in Week 7:

  • Green Bay Packers, -5.5 (-110)
  • Washington Commanders, +5.5 (-110)

Evaluating this point spread is tough. The folks over FiveThirtyEight believe it's much too high; they have it set at 2.5 points.

Still, that's factoring how much the Packers have underachieved on offense. It may also be skewed by weighting the stats of Heinicke under center for Washington. There's not a huge sample size to work with in that department.

Even more complicated, both the Packers and Commanders are 2-4 against the spread this season, suggesting their lines have generally overstated their ability.

In the end, we're resigned to picking the Packers to cover. Their offense has the higher ceiling with Aaron Rodgers, and Washington is averaging under 12 points across their past four games. There is a very real possibility the Packers score only 20 points and still wind up taking this one by a touchdown.

OSB Prediction: Green Bay Packers, -5.5 (-110)

Green Bay Packers To cover the spread vs. the Washington Commanders

Should You Bet the Over or Under in Washington vs. Green Bay?

Here are the over/under odds for the Packers vs. Commanders Week 7 matchup:

  • Over 41.5 (-105)
  • Under 41.5 (-115)

Green Bay and Washington have paid out fairly well against the under this season. They're a combined 8-4, in favor of the under, which is just an absurd mark.

Normally, with Rodgers due for a trademark performance, we'd be averse to going under on a 41.5-point line. But the Packers are currently running one of the most conservative—and least productive—systems in the NFL. They don't have Rodgers taking too many chances downfield, and the ground game has been used both sparingly and to minimal effect.

To top it off, Washington has turned in a couple of strong moments on defense. They've been blips rather than harbingers of something sustainable, but there's a chance they keep the Packers' short passing game in check.

OSB Prediction: Under 41.5 (-115)

Packers and Commanders To score under 41.5 points combined

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Meet the author

Dan Favale

Dan Favale leverages over 12 years of sports journalism expertise in his role as New York staff writer. He provides in-depth analysis across the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, tennis, NASCAR, college basketball, and sports betting. Dan co-hosts the popular Hardwood Knocks NBA podc...

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